http://www.combatconsulting.com/talebs-black-swan-glossary/ Musings on getting the impossible done in hostile operational environments Wed, 02 Nov 2011 20:45:12 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v= http://www.combatconsulting.com/talebs-black-swan-glossary/comment-page-1/#comment-463 A Few Random Thoughts On Waves | Connect the Dots Mon, 28 Feb 2011 09:38:11 +0000 http://www.combatconsulting.com/talebs-black-swan-glossary#comment-463 [...] look for a pattern, a trend. Nothing terrible here, since it’s a retrospective analysis (aka narrative fallacy). Troubles come when we want to predict the future: we tend to rely too much on data, trends and [...] [...] look for a pattern, a trend. Nothing terrible here, since it’s a retrospective analysis (aka narrative fallacy). Troubles come when we want to predict the future: we tend to rely too much on data, trends and [...]

]]> http://www.combatconsulting.com/talebs-black-swan-glossary/comment-page-1/#comment-69 A Few Random Thoughts On Waves | Personal Patterns Sat, 10 Jul 2010 15:26:14 +0000 http://www.combatconsulting.com/talebs-black-swan-glossary#comment-69 [...] look for a pattern, a trend. Nothing terrible here, since it’s a retrospective analysis (aka narrative fallacy). Troubles come when we want to predict the future: we tend to rely too much on data, trends and [...] [...] look for a pattern, a trend. Nothing terrible here, since it’s a retrospective analysis (aka narrative fallacy). Troubles come when we want to predict the future: we tend to rely too much on data, trends and [...]

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